As COP29, the United Nations’ pivotal climate summit, approaches, a notable absence of world leaders is casting a shadow over the event’s potential impact.
Leaders from the United States, European Union, and Brazil are among those who will not attend this year’s talks in Baku, Azerbaijan.
This gathering, traditionally a forum for ambitious climate pledges, is anticipated to see fewer high-profile announcements and commitments, especially as global attention is divided by political transitions and international rivalries.
Among the absentees, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has opted to remain in Brussels due to the transition underway within the EU’s leadership. Her focus on vetting members of the new European Commission – a critical task as her administration prepares to steer EU policies for the next five years – has taken precedence, according to a spokesperson.
“The Commission is in a transition phase, and the president will therefore focus on her institutional duties,” the spokesperson stated.
The United States, another major player in global climate policy, will also not be represented by its head of state. President Joe Biden’s absence from COP29 coincides with the aftermath of the U.S. presidential election.
A source from the Biden administration confirmed the president’s decision, highlighting that domestic priorities may limit the country’s ability to announce significant climate commitments in the immediate future.
Should Republican candidate Donald Trump secure a return to the presidency, climate advocates worry that this could derail US participation in global agreements, echoing Trump’s earlier withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who had been a vocal advocate for environmental protections and efforts to curb Amazon deforestation, will also miss the event after suffering a head injury last month.
Lula’s absence is particularly symbolic given Brazil’s status as a country on the frontlines of climate impacts, and his leadership had been seen as critical for advancing the cause of developing nations vulnerable to climate risks.
This year’s COP is unfolding amid intensifying challenges. Nearly 200 nations will gather to push for increased climate funding to meet ambitious CO2-cutting goals, yet experts question how feasible a robust outcome will be without the backing of key global leaders.
Climate diplomacy expert Li Shuo from the Asia Society Policy Institute underscored that the critical issue lies not just in the attendance of world leaders but in the commitments that countries bring.
“What matters most is leadership. Leaders should always be at the COP. But more important than their presence is the real commitments countries bring to the table,” Li noted.
Other prominent countries including China, Japan, Australia, and Mexico have also been absent from the latest list of confirmed attendees for high-level speeches at COP29.
As of now, the European Union will be represented by European Council President Charles Michel and climate policy chief Wopke Hoekstra, who are expected to relay the EU’s stance and initiatives.
The summit’s timing may further complicate diplomatic efforts, overlapping with the Group of 20 (G20) summit in Brazil, scheduled for November 18-19.
The dual events are expected to touch on climate financing, yet analysts warn that competing agendas might dilute the impact of either meeting. Leaders in Brazil will likely discuss economic pathways for the climate transition, but without a clear representation at COP29 from the world’s biggest economies, momentum may slow.
Past COP summits have provided a platform for world leaders to champion climate action, unveil new policies, and underscore their dedication to collective action.
With this year’s uncertain geopolitical landscape and pressing domestic issues, however, COP29 risks being perceived as lacking in urgency and ambition.
Follow us on:
